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Sunday, March 16

16th Mar - W/E: Markets & Economics

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Distorted Markets & Disillusionment One Asset At A TimeZH
Citi’s Matt King: reach for yield has distorted primary and secondary markets, forced risk-averse investors into alternative asset classes, distorted markets beyond any fundamentals, and left markets incredibly illiquid. This sets up a problem that we are already seeing as investors are disillusioned one asset at a time.

Global Equity Market Correlation MatrixBespoke

Every Chart You Should Be Tracking But Were Too Afraid To Find ZH
Punchline’s lated edition

A very nice site with US macroeconomics charts Macrotrends

The Finance Macro Canon Noahpinion
Stop me if you've heard these one before: 1. Inflation is caused by increases in the money supply…

Noah Smith on the “QE causes high inflation” fallacyThe Money Illusion
The real question is not whether QE is inflationary, or whether it is inflationary but not highly inflationary, but why is it inflationary? 

Beyond Inflation TargetsProject Syndicate
The 2008 financial crisis made it clear that monetary policy should focus on more than the prices of goods and services. How should a revised mandate for central banks be structured to maintain their focus on low inflation while allowing monetary policy to address other issues when appropriate?

Why unwind QE?FT
This is a question to which I have not given a huge amount of thought, since all central banks have declared an intention to unwind QE eventually and have given the impression that any other policy would be disastrously inflationary.

We will need decades of austerity, not yearsThe Telegraph
Government after government in almost every country in the world has piled up future commitments without setting aside any funds to meet them.

Macro-prudential policy: Ambidextrous or ham-fisted?FT
In a talk delivered on 3 January, which the ever-so-slightly disorganised Andy Haldane has just got round to writing up, the Bank of England’s head of financial stability beautifully sets out the new central bank orthodoxy on the benefits of macro-prudential policy.

Emerging Markets’ Bubble TroublesProject Syndicate
Emerging economies have been pursuing policies with little regard for the lessons of recent financial crises. Countries like India, Brazil, South Africa, and Indonesia have been hit by the Fed’s gradual exit from quantitative easing – and the asset bubbles that it has fueled.

Capitalism RedefinedDemocracy Journal
What prosperity is, where growth comes from, why markets work—and how we resolve the tension between a prosperous world and a moral one.

Assessing Reserve Adequacy - Further ConsiderationsIMF
While other instruments, such as official credit lines and bilateral swap lines, are also external buffers, for most countries they principally act as a complement to their official reserves. For countries with sound fundamentals and a good policy framework, reserves provide policy makers with considerable space to respond to transitory shocks. However, this space diminishes as fundamentals deteriorate and the existence of adequate reserves does not, by itself, eliminate the risk of market pressures.

Making macroprudential stress tests more
Macroprudential stress tests have been employed by regulators in the US and Europe to assess the solvency condition of financial firms in adverse macroeconomic scenarios. The capital required by regulators in such adverse scenarios is strongly dependent on Basel capital standards. This column argues that macro stress tests would be more effective if capital requirements were measured differently from the current regulatory risk weight-based approach, and in particular, were based on total assets and on market risks.

The Regulatory Responses to the Global Financial Crisis: Some Uncomfortable QuestionsIMF
Policy makers need to resist, however, fine-tuning regulations: a “do not harm” approach is often preferable. And as risks will remain, crisis management needs to be made an integral part of system design, not relegated to improvisation after the fact.

The intolerance of uneconomic economics Pieria
The argument that macroeconomics may have taken a wrong turn somewhere along the line and could have benefitted from a more pluralist approach is one that doesn’t go down well at the heart of the orthodox economics community. But it feels like an argument that is increasingly being made. And not just by the irredeemably heterodox. It appears that closer to the core of the discipline there is some momentum gathering behind the idea that a bit of a rethink and a reappraisal is needed.