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Thursday, March 6

5th Mar - Ukraine Update

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Putin’s KampfProject Syndicate
Charles Tannock: Russia’s seizure of Crimea is the most naked example of peacetime aggression that Europe has witnessed since Nazi Germany invaded the Sudetenland in 1938.
Wall Street Reacts to Putin: Nevermind, Nothing to See HereWSJ

Russia and its Dollar Reserves: Going Nowhere FastMarc to Market
Provided the military situation in Ukraine and Crimea does not escalate from here, it is likely the Russia will get a proverbial slap on its wrists for bearing its canines and the military display of what largely amounts to a shot across the Ukrainian bow. 

Ukraine and Europe’s recovery: the energy threatFT

Ukraine: Follow the Energyof two minds

What Putin Really WantsOp-Ed / NYT

Pipeline PoliticsWSJ
Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine leave Europe’s gas supply vulnerable.

European Commission's support to UkraineEC
Overall support of at least €11 billion over the next couple of years from the EU budget and EU-based international financial institutions

Ukraine Won't Pay Russia For Gas, Has Billions In Obligations Due; Europe Promises Aid Money It Doesn't HaveZH

Ukraine in crisis: all clear or eye of the storm?FT
The Ukraine crisis has entered its “wait and see” phase. Does this mark the beginning of a peaceful resolution or is it the calm before the storm?

Infographic: Reversing the Berlin WallTradingFloor
Moscow and Kiev are at loggerheads in the Crimea, but the peninsula is just one element of a bigger prize. A complex game between Russia and Europe is likely to play out based on energy security issues, and the potential game-changer of US shale gas.

(Feb 21) Ukraine’s $19-billion question of debt and corruptionQuartz
At the traditional core of Ukrainian corruption is the natural gas trade with Russia. Simply put, powerful Ukrainians and Russians skim billions of dollars a year through opaque financial arrangements between the two countries.

(2009) Where East Meets West: European Gas and Ukrainian RealityWashington Quarterly

The 'Hidden Debts' Of Russia And Ukraine That Could Make Them More Exposed Than Any Other Country In The WorldBI
The official statistics only measure a given corporation's debt issuance in the home country, and don't take into account offshore debt issued through overseas subsidiaries.

EU offers Ukraine $15 billion, but help hinges on IMF dealReuters
Barroso said the assistance, to be discussed by European Union leaders at a summit in Brussels on Thursday, would require widespread reforms by the new Ukrainian government and the signing of a deal between Ukraine and the International Monetary Fund.

Is EU aid to Ukraine really €11bn?FT

Russia Defies West’s Crimea Pleas as EU Offers Ukraine AidBB