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Sunday, March 16

16th Mar - W/E: The World

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Brussels blog round up 8 – 14 MarchEuropp / LSE
Ukraine talks, financial transaction tax, and how can youth unemployment be solved?

Even a billionaire cannot save the EU from itselfReuters
“Only in retrospect,” Soros writes, did he come to see the euro zone as structurally flawed. It is vulnerable to shocks like the crash of 2008, it lacks common fiscal or political policies and its most powerful nation — Germany — is reluctant to take the bold steps that could secure the currency and the EU. The ultimate failure of the euro zone project will be Germany’s fault, he says.

Eastern European credit crunch and foreign bank
Eastern Europe was hit especially hard by the credit crunch during the global financial crisis. This column presents new evidence suggesting that reliance on foreign funding was more important than foreign bank ownership per se in exacerbating the post-crisis credit contraction. These findings point to the need to put more emphasis on the discussion of bank business models, regulatory standards, and supervisory arrangements.

Drifting into Politics Is Germany's High Court Anti-European?Spiegel
Germany's Federal Constitutional Court is one of the country's most formidable institutions. Yet recently it has faced criticism for its rulings on the euro and European unification. Have its justices crossed the line between jurisprudence and politics?

Election or selection?The Economist

ECB needs cunning plan to join currency warsReuters
The euro is at two-and-a-half-year highs, a strength that could drive ultra-low inflation even lower. In principle, the European Central Bank is squeamish about blatantly targeting a weaker euro. But it need have no qualms about picking policy tools that maximise currency damage.

Finland Trapped in Recession as Investment Fades: Nordic Credit BB

Ukraine’s legacy of serial oligopolyThe Globe and Mail
Parallels to 1914? What History Teaches Us About the Ukraine CrisisSpiegel
On the 100th anniversary of World War I, it is tempting to compare events in Ukraine to 1914. But the current crisis bears little resemblance to the geopolitical situation of the time. The answers history provides are anything but singular and absolute.

Pipe It, Gerhard: EU Parliamentarians Shun Ex-ChancellorSpiegel
Members of the conservatives and the Green Party in the European Parliament want to muzzle Gerhard Schröder. As the executive of a Russian pipeline company, they say, he should keep quiet about his views on the Ukraine conflict.

Russian Richest Face Margin Calls With Billions at StakeBB
Billionaires in Russia and Ukraine risk further losses as market volatility and the threat of Iran-style economic sanctions intensify following Russia’s incursion into Crimea.

Will The First $3 Billion Of A Ukraine Bailout Immediately Go To Russia?ZH

Gazprom Chairman Sold All His Shares Just Before Russia Invaded CrimeaZH

Putin’s Counter-RevolutionLondon Review of Books
James Meek reports from Ukraine
Putin: During and After SochiNew York Review of Books
You’ve probably never heard of Roman Khabarov—which is a pity, because he’s potentially one of the most important opposition activists in Russia today and he was arrested during the recent Olympics, when few would notice.

Kim Says World Bank May Speed Up $3 Billion Aid for UkraineBB
World Bank President Jim Yong Kim said the Ukrainian government’s resolve to overhaul the economy will help the lender speed up about $3 billion in aid in areas such as health and sanitation.

Woodrow Wilson’s Ukraine Failure Foreshadows West’s DilemmasBB
Wilson went to the post-World War I peace conference committed to “self-determination” for other parts of eastern Europe, while keeping Ukraine tied to Moscow in the hope that a rebuilt Russian empire would reverse the Bolshevik takeover.

Bank Rossii's tightening to curb economic growth in RussiaDanske Bank

Russia and the Birth of the Eurodollar MarketMarc to Market

Who loses most in Ukraine?Reuters

The retreat of the Eastern partnershipReuters

People Think We’re in a Recession. Don’t Blame ThemNYT

Yellen Chairs First Meeting as Guidance in FocusBB
The first Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting chaired by Janet Yellen will reduce the Fed’s monthly pace of asset purchases by another $10 billion, economists project.

Overshooting, once and for allFT

Fedspeak Cheatsheet: What Are Fed Policymakers SayingWSJ

FOMC Preview: More Tapering, Change to GuidanceCalculated Risk
Fed Chair Janet Yellen will chair her first FOMC meeting this week on Tuesday and Wednesday, and hold her first post-FOMC press conference following the meeting. It appears the FOMC will reduce monthly asset purchases by another $10 billion per month, from $65 billion to $55 billion. The weaker than expected recent data will probably not derail another round of tapering, and the focus this month will be on the change to the forward guidance.

Weighing the Week Ahead: Yellen Takes the StageA Dash of Insight
This week marks the first FOMC meeting with Janet Yellen as the Chair. Since there will also be an update to forecasts, the announcement will include a press conference.

Japan as the crisis next timeReuters

China is shaking, sending ripples from Perth to PeruGeorge Magnus

Is the PBOC driving up the euro?FT

Big investment banks rush to cut China growth forecastsMarketWatch

China Bond Risk Exceeds Ireland as Defaults UnavoidableBB

China Is Prepared for Rough Economy Ahead, Li SaysBusinessWeek

China’s Big Four Banks See $70 Billion Vanish From StocksBB

China and the Dangers of DebtHouse of Debt

China’s banking: March of the banks The Economist