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Wednesday, September 19

19th Sep - US Open: Me Too!

Japan joined the central bank's bonanza with additional QE. Otherwise nothing going on - negativity in commentary on the Fed's QE and Europe in general.

For full coverage of the two most important developments, see ECB Watch and Fed Extra.

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Roundups & Commentary
US Opening News And Market Re-Cap – Ransquawk / ZH
Frontrunning – ZH
Overnight Sentiment – DB / ZH
The Lunch Wrap – alphaville / FT
Emerging N.Y. headlines – beyondbrics / FT
Today’s front pages – presseurop
Daily press summary – Open Europe
  Draghi open to publishing minutes of ECB meetings; Bundesbank Chief cites Goethe’s Faust to warn against activist monetary policies

Morning MarketBeat: Despite QE3, Dow Theorists Still Worried – WSJ
Broker Note Briefing – WSJ
Morning Take-Out – NYT
AM Dear Dairy: Quiet at Mid-point – Macro and Cheese
Japan Today, Spain TomorrowMarc to Market
– TF Market Advisors

US session ahead
Pre-market Commentary – Marketwatch
Pre-Market Trading – CNNMoney
Pre-Market – NASDAQ
US Equity Preview – Bloomberg
Earnings & Events – The Street
MarketCurrents – Seeking Alpha

TV: Bloomberg, BBC
Debt crisis: live – The Telegraph
The Euro Crisis Blog – WSJ
Tracking Europe’s Debt Crisis – NYT
FX Options Analytics – Saxo Bank
European 10yr Yields and Spreads – MTS indices

EUR fundamentals: the “glass-half-full” lookNordea (pdf)
Not denying that the EMU is facing a few tough years ahead, it is worth pointing out that the situation has improved somewhat over the past few years. The EMU is now in a more sound state than it was just 3-5 years ago.

Missed Chances Stoke Skepticism Over EU’s Crisis FightBB
Background / summary article

What really caused Eurozone banks' balance sheets to grow?Sober Look
So what actually drove this increase in assets discussed above? A large part of it was due to accelerated purchases of sovereign debt… Italy and Spain clearly did not care if banks' balance sheets would increase as a result. And it was done at the expense of lending to the "real economy", pushing the Eurozone into its current recession.

Central bank action is work of the devil, says Germany's Jens WeidmannThe Telegraph
The head of Germany’s Bundesbank has raised eyebrows across Europe after he appeared to compare Mario Draghi’s bond buying programme with the "devil’s work".

Faust and the German aversion to debtalphaville / FT
Weidmann didn’t directly discuss the ECB or the OMT during his speech on Tuesday — but the message seemed pretty clear.

Investors increase pressure on Spain to seek aidReuters
Investors on Tuesday piled pressure on Spain to request international aid and trigger a European Central Bank bond-buying program seen as inevitable to help the country finance its debt, with the benchmark 10-year bond rising to just over 6 percent.

Euro-Zone Banking Union: Coverage and Pace of Implementation Place du Luxembourg

Germany and banking union: building the Chinese wall Open Europe

A Flaw in the QE Expectational Transmission Mechanism?PragCap

The Three Costs of QE3The Reformed Broker

The QE Aftermath: What it Means and How it’s (not) Different CFA Institute
Do the benefits of an open-ended QE program, which looks like it could be massively mispricing risky assets, justify such a dramatic action by the Fed? I am personally not convinced either way, but I am sure it will be a case study in many ways going forward. For now, I am optimistic that positive news in the housing market, modest job improvement, and strong corporate balance sheets will continue to build momentum with the aid of QE.

Chart of the day, housing bubble editionFelix Salmon / Reuters

The BoJ’s feud-driven asset purchase extensionalphaville / FT
Japan’s finance minister Jun Azumi was pretty clear about how the country might respond after the FOMC’s decision last week threatened to push the yen higher against the dollar. Today the BoJ made good on the threat, announcing it would increase its asset-purchasing programme to ¥80 trillion ($1.01tn) from ¥70tn.

A currency war campaign plan for the BoJalphaville / FT
the last two pushes by the BoJ, in April and February, didn’t have much of a lasting impact — although February’s move when the bank also announced an explicit inflation target was initially very impressive. Essentially, the BoJ is and was fighting to stem a tide rather than reverse its flow.

The End of China's Easy GrowthThe Telegraph
The more we learn about China’s vast stimulus plans, the more far-fetched they seem.

(podcast) BizDaily: China, Japan and territorial disputesBBC (mp3)
Trade between China and Japan is worth hundreds of billions of dollars a year yet the two nations are locked in a battle over a few rocky outcrops in the East China Sea. Business Daily asks how the dispute over these uninhabited islands will hit the two countries economies. Plus - how much more room for smartphone innovation is there...?

Is the market still too optimistic about Chinese corporate earnings? ASA

China FDI was down 1.43% yoy in August ASA

China’s corporate cash crunch, illustrated ASA

CEO Speaker Series: A Conversation with Ray DalioCFR
Transcript of the long interview

To be Europe this autumn...Humble Student
Despite all the hoopla about the actions of the Fed, it has been European equities that have begun to bottom and started to become the leadership. US equities have begun to weaken against global equities and started to lag.

Slumping trade growth – and more oil Jedi mind tricks? – alphaville / FT
Is Saudi Arabia having to again resort to Jedi mind tricks? Does the central bank of oil still have such a big problem with its policy transmission mechanism that it can’t weaken prices by production alone — and what effect is this having on world trade?

Tätä menoa keskuspankit ja valtiot tuhoavat rahanJan Hurri / TalSa
Maailman mahtavimmat keskuspankit ovat kriisin mittaan pumpanneet talouteen yli 6 000:ta miljardia euroa vastaavan summan painotuoretta rahaa. EKP ja Yhdysvaltain Fed ovat juuri luvanneet markkinoille lisää rahaa vaikka rajattomasti. Ilmainen raha on mannaa keinottelijoille, mutta onko hillittömistä rahatoimista meille muille enemmän haittaa kuin hyötyä? Tätä kysyvät talouden ammattilaisetkin.

Pääkirjoitus: Julkisten varojen törkeää väärinkäyttöäIS
Julkisen hallinnon tietojärjestelmien uudistukseen on vuosien varrella käytetty jo satoja miljoonia euroja ja loppua ei ole luvassa, kun ryhdytään luomaan koko maan kattavaa potilastietojärjestelmää, jonka hinnaksi Sitra on arvioinut ällistyttävät 1,8 miljardia euroa.

Pääkirjoitus: Pankkiunionin aikataulu koetuksellaHS

Euroopan rataennätys Henri Myllyniemi / US Puheenvuoro
(keskustelu on pihvi tässä)