Google Analytics

Friday, September 21

21st Sep - EU Open: Helmets on!

Supposedly a quiet Friday, as there are no events or numbers marked into the calendar. I disagree. It is Friday, usually a very good day for market movement as people square off their positions ahead of the weekend. Markets are also at somewhat important levels - EURUSD has climbed back up to 1.30, and either turns down again for new lows (1.2850 perhaps) or breaks back up and the bull trend would be continuing. SPX future is similarly licking the 1560-resistance, and Spanish bond yields look far easier today, after the 6% yield was rejected yesterday. My bet is today will be a risk-on day: funny, as markets are already at resistance levels and one would easily be inclined to expect the exact opposite.

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

Follow ‘MoreLiver’ on Twitter or Facebook 

News roundup – Between The Hedges
The 6am Cut London – alphaville / FT
Emerging Markets Headlines – beyondbrics / FT

TV: Bloomberg, BBC
Debt crisis: live – The Telegraph
The Euro Crisis Blog – WSJ
Tracking Europe’s Debt Crisis – NYT
FX Options Analytics – Saxo Bank
European 10yr Yields and Spreads – MTS indices

Morning Briefing (Asia): Kocherlakota Names 5.5% Unemployment TargetBNY Mellon
Mario Monti’s reform agenda has been impressive; its implementation less so

Asia Today: Risk still subdued in a ranging Asian sessionSaxo Bank
Consolidation after a volatile week was the theme across Asia today with little in the way of data to lead the way. The only data release of note was the Conference Board’s leading indicators for Australia for July which came out flat on the month

Market Preview: UK Public Finances data eyedSaxo Bank
European markets are expected to open higher Friday tracking gains in Asian markets. Market sentiment received a boost amid reports that Spain could seek an aid package within a week. Meanwhile, UK public finances data will be closely eyed today.

Danske DailyDanske Bank (pdf)
FT reports that Spain is in talks with the EU on plans to trigger ECB bond buying. Minneapolis Fed President Kocherlakota presents his ‘liftoff’ plan, arguing that rates should be kept extraordinarily low until the unemployment rate has reached 5.5%. The calendar is very thin today with no key movers. A couple of speeches from ECB members might attract some attention but otherwise there will be little new information to trade on.

AamukatsausNordea (pdf)
Espanja valmistautuu tukipyyntöön * Euroalueen talouden taantuma ei hellitä * EURUSD painui takaisin tason 1.3000 alle 

AamukatsausTapiola (pdf)
Euroalueen palvelualojen ostopäälikköindeksin sekä kuluttajaluottamuksen ennakot jäivät odotuksista, mikä kertoo euroalueen sisämarkkinoiden odotuksia heikommasta tilasta. Markkinan suunta: Osakemarkkina ei reagoinut merkittävästi heikkenevään makrodataan. Euroopan taloustilanteen liuku jatkuu, etenkin palvelut ja kuluttajien tilanne heikkenee. Osakefutuurit indikoivat nyt aamulla nousuavausta. Metso peruutti suunnittelemansa lisäosingon. Uponor yhdistää infraputket KWH:n kanssa.

Morning Briefing (EU/US): Free fallin’BNY Mellon
Will Congress allow the US economy to plunge over the ‘fiscal cliff’?


Kuva-arvoitus demareille ja VasemmistoliitolleHenri Myllyniemi / US Puheenvuoro

Suomi - parasta AA(A) luokkaa 2013Ville Kauppinen / US Puheenvuoro

Pääkirjoitus: Ruotsi räyhäsi, Suomi katsoi sivustaHS

TV1:n kunnallisvaalitentti ei innostanutJyrki Virolainen