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Friday, October 19

19th Oct - EU Open: Banking union scheduled

First day of the EU summitteering confirmed the schedule for the common supervisor part of the banking union. This is a prerequisite for bailing out the Spanish banks, but it will be a long way to that result, and there are plenty of parties ready to change their opinion later. Markets nervous after Google's blunder.

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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News roundup – Between The Hedges
The 6am Cut London – alphaville / FT
Emerging Markets Headlines – beyondbrics / FT

Debt crisis: live – The Telegraph
The Euro Crisis Blog – WSJ
Tracking Europe’s Debt Crisis – NYT
FX Options Analytics – Saxo Bank
European 10yr Yields and Spreads – MTS indices

Morning Briefing (Asia): US Data and Euro News Remains UpbeatBNY Mellon
Answering the question about the EUR's longer-term performance, may require looking beyond its underlying fundamentals

3 Numbers to Watch: US Existing Home Sales, DE PPI & Canadian CPISaxo Bank
It's day two of the EU summit in Brussels, and data is due from the US, Canada and Germany. German PPI is seen lower month-on-month due to Eurozone economic weakness, while in the US, existing home sales may not match other recent housing surprises.

Market Preview: Eyes on German Producer PricesSaxo Bank
European markets are expected to open in the red Friday on the back of dismal US corporate earnings. Investors are keeping an eye on the second day of the EU leaders meeting, plus German PPI and US existing sales data due later today.

Danske DailyDanske Bank (pdf)
Banking union dominated talks at EU summit    leaders agree on timetable for the single supervisory mechanism. Disappointing earnings from Google and Microsoft are weighing on stock markets. EUR/USD moved lower on comments by Merkel and Hollande ahead of EU summit that showed disagreement on the pace forward.  Market movers today:  European council meeting, US existing home sales, earnings reports

Aamukatsaus Nordea (pdf)
Huippukokoukseen anti jäi odotetusti epämääräiseksi * Uudet työttömyyskorvaushakemukset korjasivat edellisviikon laskua USA:ssa * USDJPY kuudentena perättäisenä nousupäivänä korkeimmilleen 2 kuukauteen

Aamukatsaus Tapiola (pdf)
Tuloskausi Helsingin pörssissä kiihtyy ja aamulla raportoi jo viisi yhtiötä. Katso tuoreimmat kommentit aamukatsauksen tuloskalenterista. Markkinan suunta: Markkinnan nousu pysähtyi eilen USA:n odotettua heikompiin työttömyyshakemuksiin. EU:n johtajat pyrkivät luomaan yhteisen pankkivalvonnan vuoden loppuun mennessä. Tarkoituksena mahdollistaa pankkien suora pääomittaminen pysyvästä vakausrahastosta. 3Q12-tuloksia aamulla: hyvät tulokset: Huhtamaki, Revenio Group. Neutraalit tulokset: Elisa, Stonesoft. Heikot tulokset: Fortum.

Morning Briefing (EU/US): All trees, no wood BNY Mellon

Whether or not Spain can secure ECB funding, how will it repay the principal? 


Some Context On Spain's 'Big' WeekZH
1) Domestic Bank holdings of Spanish bonds have surged... 2) the ban on naked CDS… 3) Lower spreads reflexively mean lower probability of Rajoy saying "Si"… 4) Recency bias is incredible - we have seen 100-plus percent rises in Spanish risk followed by 35-plus percent retracements a number of times and the current level of Spain risk is still above LTRO-inspired crisis levels.

EU Aims for Euro-Area Bank Supervision to Start in 2013BB
European leaders committed to their goal of establishing a euro-area bank supervisor by year-end, opening the prospect of direct aid to Spain’s banks.

Europe advances towards single banking supervisorReuters
European Union leaders took a big stride towards establishing a single banking supervisor for the euro zone, agreeing it would enter into force next year, opening the way for the bloc's rescue fund to inject capital directly into ailing banks.

EU Summit 1st day as expectedNordea

EU bank supervision to come to life next yeareuobserver
EU leaders have set a launch date of "a few months after" 1 January 2013 for a eurozone bank supervisor, opening the door for direct EU bailouts of bad banks.

Citi On The Election: "Ignore Pundits & Partisans; HuffPo Data Says Obama"ZH

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