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Saturday, October 20

20th Oct - Weekender: Weekly Support

Last week in review – next one previewed! For entertainment, see my special on the '87 crash.

Previously on MoreLiver’s:

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Weekly Scoreboard – Between The Hedges
Weekly Eurozone Watch – Global Macro Monitor
Week in Review – Global Macro Monitor
US market portrait 2012 week 43 – Portfolio Probe 

This week in reviewA View From My Screens
Summary for Week ending Oct-19Calculated Risk
The US economic data clearly improved last week. This was the third week in a row with mostly better than expected data, and suggests some recent pickup in economic activity.

The Weekenderbeyondbrics / FT

The Weekenderalphaville / FT

Succinct summation of week’s eventsThe Big Picture

MarketBeat Podcast: Remembering the Crash of 1987MarketBeat / WSJ
E.S. Browning, Emma Moody and Steven Russolillo relive the memories of Black Monday -- the biggest one-day percentage drop in stock-market history.

Week in Review: Ex-Goldman Trader’s Book Is Short on DetailsDealBook / NYT
A look back on our reporting of the past week’s highs and lows in finance.

(podcast) World Weekly with Gideon RachmanThe World / FT
What will swing the US election? The US presidential race is as tight as ever. President Obama appears to have ended his slide in the opinion polls following a much stronger performance in the second debate with Mitt Romney, but with less than three weeks until the election, what is likely to determine who wins the White House? (11 min)

Politics this weekThe Economist

Business this weekThe Economist

Schedule for Week of Oct-21Calculated Risk
The key U.S. economic report for the coming week is the Q3 advance GDP report to be released on Friday. Also New Home sales will be released on Wednesday. For manufacturing, two regional manufacturing reports will be released (Richmond and Kansas City Fed surveys). There is an FOMC meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday, with an announcement scheduled for Wednesday at 2:15 PM ET. No significant announcement is expected.

Next Week’s Tape: Tech Earnings, GDP, Three IPOsMarketBeat / WSJ
Third-quarter earnings season continues next week with a bevy of tech companies, as well as airlines, industrials and others. Housing and gross domestic product data are expected, along with three initial public offerings.

S&P 500 Earnings Week AheadReuters

Wall Street Week Ahead: Investors face earnings blitz with dreadReuters
U.S. earnings started the quarter on the wrong foot, and things have only gotten worse.

(video) Europe Week Ahead: Q3 crunch time in US and UK.Reuters

(video) Asia Week Ahead: China earnings, Japan trade data in focusReuters

(video) US Week Ahead: Tablet wars anything but miniReuters

Global Week Ahead – Positive bias to key figure surprisesNordea (pdf)
The most important events this week will be the FOMC meeting and the Troika review of Greece. We expect the Riksbank to stay on hold. (summary here)

G10 Weekly: US Earnings – what’s up…or is it down?Nordea (pdf))
US Earnings – what’s up…or is it down? * Riksbank preview: A fine balance

Asia FX Outlook: EM Asia became hot againNordea (pdf)
Asian currencies have generally performed well vs. the USD in the past month benefiting from increased risk appetite in the markets and return of the search for carry behaviour. (summary)

Weekly Preview: Breathe in the airBNY Mellon

Weekly Focus: Recovery moving eastDanske Bank (pdf)
FOMC, US final presidential debate, Spanish elections

Market Analysis: Understanding The Bond BubbleThe Short Side of Long
A look at both the stock and bond markets

The Ultimate Presidential Election Guide For InvestorsZH
Credit Suisse’s deep look – 42 pages 

Weighing the Week Ahead: An Early Verdict on Q3 Earnings?A Dash of Insight 
The reaction to earnings turned negative, and it is easy to spot the turning point.  Google [pending Larry quote] had an accidental early release of their earnings miss…As I predicted last week, the market action is all about expectations and interpretation.  The earnings results have actually beaten expectations (given the lower bar) but the revenue beat rate and outlook has been disappointing. 

FX Positioning and Technical Outlook: Dollar Still Carving out a Bottom Marc to Market
Our big picture view is that the US dollar is carving out an important bottom, after selling off in Q3 as policy makers moved to reduce the extreme tail risks.

The Weekly: Moore’s Law Meets Murphy’s Law & Milken TF Market Advisors
I would love to be able to say that Europe is fixed. It isn’t and this particular summit was particularly disappointing. 

Weekly Credit Update Danske Bank (pdf)
In the absence of high issuance volume in the primary market recently, cash-rich investors have emptied the shelves for bonds to an extent reminiscent of a Soviet supermarket. Consequently, spreads are moving tighter again

Emerging Markets Briefer - Oct 2012Danske Bank (pdf)

EMEA Weekly, Week 43 Danske Bank (pdf)
Country-specific fundamentals back in fashion

Emerging: Week Aheadbeyondbrics / FT

EU Agenda: Budget and gender law euobserver

Economic Calendar –
Monthly Economic Calendar –
Economic Calendar – BB
EU calendar –


TV: Bloomberg, CNBC, BBC,
Debt crisis: live – The Telegraph
Europe Crisis Tracker – WSJ
Tracking Europe’s Debt Crisis – NYT
FX Options Analytics – Saxo Bank

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